Chiefs (-1.5) at Raiders
We picked this AFC West game as one of our game picks for Week 6. Both Ryan and I went with our childhood coach Big Red. Andy has a tremendous track record of success coming off the bye which Kansas City is doing after getting spanked by the Steelers two weeks ago. The early line for this game favored Oakland by a point at home. Kansas City has gradually moved to a road favorite on the road despite the Raiders being 4-1. The line shift scares me a bit, but I can’t pass up Big Red off the bye especially after a bad loss.
Bengals at Patriots (-9)
Tommy Football looked in midseason form returning from his four game suspension last week albeit against the Browns. The Patriots play at home this week for Brady’s long-awaited return against a Bengals team who was embarrassed by the Cowboys. Andy Dalton is clearly missing Tyler Eifert along with Marvin Jones and Mohammed Sanu. The Bengals defense isn’t performing much better with the loss of safety Reggie Nelson to the Raiders. This is a high spread for two teams that made the playoffs last year, but this is the Patriots at home with a pissed off Brady. Fingers crossed for a ten point win and no garbage time touchdowns.
Jets at Cards (-7.5)
The Jets are a complete dumpster fire following another loss in Pittsburgh last weekend. Arizona gets back Carson Palmer after he missed the 49ers game with a concussion. Even before the concussion Palmer was struggling mightily leading to a 1-3 start for a Super Bowl contender. I’m not sure what to make of the Jets defense. They have talent, but overall they don’t seem to function well as a unit. Look for the Cards to lean on David Johnson heavily Monday night leading to play action deep shots for Palmer. It wouldn’t hurt if Fitz Magic served up his usual serving of interceptions either.
Ohio State at Wisconsin (+11)
The Buckeyes have owned the Badgers in the past four meetings beating them head to head while covering the spread in the process. Ohio State’s toughest test this season came on the road against Oklahoma where the game was over by halftime. On the other hand, Wisconsin has been a surprise nationally with victories against LSU and Michigan State. They also went on the road to Ann Arbor covering the double digit underdog spread against Jim Harbaugh and Michigan. Camp Randall Stadium is a difficult place to play on Saturday night under the lights which is the case here with an 8 PM kickoff. The Badgers defense is one of the best in the country and they will be the key to Wisconsin covering the spread at home. A Big Ten rivalry such as this with two top ten teams I’ll take the home underdog getting double digit points.
2016 Record: 9-11
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