Jets at Steelers (-7)
Pittsburgh is coming off a Sunday night beatdown of the Chiefs while the Jets lost another home game this time to Seattle. New York is coming into this Week 5 matchup banged up with Eric Decker and Darrelle Revis unlikely to play. The Steelers offense is at full strength now with the return of Leveon Bell last week as he racked up almost 150 rushing yards. The Jets pass defense has not been good this year, and Ben Roethlisberger will take advantage of that. Ryan Fitzpatrick has been one of the worst quarterbacks in the league especially the past few games. I like the Steelers giving a touchdown at home.
Texans (+7) at Vikings
Minnesota looked impressive once again, particularily on defense, as they dominated the Giants at home this past Monday night. However, this week the Vikings will likely be without their top receiving threat in Stefon Diggs who has not practiced all week. Minnesota is already without Adrian Peterson for the year and Diggs has been of the best receivers in football so far this season. I don’t anticipate Houston outright winning this game on the road, but getting a touchdown with the number of injuries Minnesota is dealing with is hard to pass up. Turnovers will be the key as Brock Osweiler has thrown six interceptions this season. The Texans have enough playmakers on both sides of the ball to keep this one closer than a touchdown to cover on the road.
Bills (+1.5) at Rams
This line has steadily declined throughout the week as the Rams opened as the traditional 3 point home favorites early in the week. Jeff Fisher is still a terrible football coach despite the three straight wins the Rams have racked up including on the road last week at Arizona. Their offense is still incredibly pedestrian being led by Case Keenum and an average offensive line at best. Rex Ryan and the Bills are coming off a road shutout of the Patriots albeit against a third string rookie. Buffalo has won two in a row since starting off the season 0-2 and in danger of completely falling apart. I’m not a huge believer in the Bills as this pick is more based on the fact I don’t think Jeff Fisher can win 4 games in a row in the NFL.
Virginia Tech at North Carolina (-1.5)
The Tarheels are coming off an emotional win on the road last weekend against Florida State where they won a last play 54 yard field goal. UNC earlier defeated Pitt at home in another ACC tilt although they failed to cover the spread as they were coming from behind much of the contest. The Tarheel offense is fast paced and can certainly put points on the board in a hurry. Virginia Tech has beaten up on lesser opponents the past two games vaulting them into the Top 25 ranking. The Hokies smoked Boston College 49-0 then followed that blowout up by beating East Carolina 54-17 at home in Blacksburg. I think North Carolina is way more talented than Va Tech who was blown out by Tennessee earlier this season in the only other true test on their schedule so far. Who knows if the weather will be a factor in this game, but either way I like the Heels at home giving points.
2016 Record: 7-9
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